Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 168.139518 195.218324 226.584307 265.917169 314.365741 372.674882 4.490554e+02
2025-07-06 130.661576 163.817147 206.297715 265.867610 349.160307 464.533568 6.421464e+02
2025-07-13 115.376559 152.822104 204.464897 283.311038 405.267323 595.334985 9.333711e+02
2025-07-20 106.007373 146.773094 206.492895 304.481438 470.119446 757.839535 1.346902e+03
2025-07-27 94.887074 135.816886 198.592690 307.554543 505.401262 881.770282 1.754483e+03
2025-08-03 87.176822 128.538537 194.659322 315.540982 550.439408 1039.030563 2.327569e+03
2025-08-10 79.491943 120.076251 187.203728 315.389161 579.449338 1174.071307 2.942632e+03
2025-08-17 73.764306 113.969469 182.639846 319.362643 617.594463 1345.300069 3.804724e+03
2025-08-24 68.192250 107.396434 176.219217 318.301769 644.345918 1500.419707 4.771191e+03
2025-08-31 63.500765 101.782571 170.714036 317.945417 672.606685 1673.496557 6.014739e+03
2025-09-07 60.205863 98.256319 168.589410 324.258202 719.172182 1925.603155 7.987545e+03
2025-09-14 55.042603 90.820730 158.022527 310.076361 708.601666 1990.000499 9.103695e+03
2025-09-21 51.313007 86.041842 152.835406 309.022469 739.130580 2236.687904 1.202500e+04
2025-09-28 47.956788 81.678524 148.049073 308.374758 772.414720 2527.428585 1.628025e+04
2025-10-05 46.838460 81.466660 151.787699 329.434528 880.986028 3235.888696 2.793178e+04
2025-10-12 46.072885 81.839673 156.808018 355.131954 1018.383837 4259.189315 5.334389e+04
2025-10-19 43.766337 78.837142 153.920003 358.870629 1080.694389 4971.895857 8.483922e+04
2025-10-26 42.063594 76.901063 153.187888 368.596831 1171.840704 6019.544635 1.540529e+05
2025-11-02 39.913116 73.809837 149.350873 368.411809 1223.576220 6894.835211 2.605990e+05
2025-11-09 38.237047 71.577399 147.287042 373.255821 1301.084279 8155.983491 5.196124e+05
2025-11-16 36.379648 68.783417 143.512093 371.962198 1350.958183 9305.092421 1.026311e+06
2025-11-23 34.721235 66.287924 140.193155 371.527719 1406.301017 10687.207120 2.365756e+06
2025-11-30 33.570465 64.828493 139.331567 379.228502 1509.878252 13009.963555 9.388623e+06